Prediction of Millen Hurrion vs Philip Henning at M15 Heraklion 11-13-25

• Millen Hurrion has secured 42.60% of points on their second serve over the past six months, with Philip Henning slightly better at 44.07%. Does this small margin indicate a possible edge for Henning? Yes, especially as second serve performance correlates highly with match outcomes.
• In return games, Hurrion has won 44.55% of opponent’s second serve points recently, slightly trailing Henning's 45.15%. A notable difference appears in first serve returns where Hurrion outperforms Henning significantly, 31.87% to 24.55%, which might favor Hurrion in this aspect.
• When facing breakpoints, Hurrion has saved 49.51%, whereas Henning has managed a higher 51.71%. Could Henning's advantage under pressure influence the match? It certainly strengthens his overall resilience.
• Over the last year, Henning has demonstrated superior match success with a 74.58% win rate compared to Hurrion's 60.94%, hinting at Henning's consistent form.
• Surfaces might play a pivotal role; Hurrion excels on indoor hard courts with a 67% win rate, while Henning's strongest performance is on hard courts with the same 67%, indicating surface preferences should be considered.
• When scrutinizing level of competition, Henning's success at the Futures $10K events stands out, boasting an 87.18% win rate, overshadowing Hurrion’s 61.90%.
• Considering opponent quality, Hurrion has competed against higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 341.84, in contrast to Henning's 360.64, suggesting Hurrion may have faced tougher challenges.
• Deciding sets could be crucial; Hurrion has a strong 75% success rate, which surpasses Henning's 65%, potentially tipping the scales if the match goes the distance.

Editorial Prediction (November 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Millen Hurrion and Philip Henning promises to be closely contested. Henning holds a slight statistical advantage in second serve effectiveness and break point pressure scenarios, suggesting a potential edge in these areas.

However, Hurrion’s capability of returning first serves more effectively and his strength in deciding sets could play a crucial role in this encounter. Although he faced slightly higher-ranked opponents recently, these experiences might enhance his performance under competitive conditions.

Overall, while Henning’s superior win rate over the last year and performance at the $10K events mark him as a formidable contender, Hurrion’s advantages in certain statistics and deciding set performance offer a possibility for an upset. Considering all these factors, Philip Henning is the likely candidate to secure a victory in this match, but only just.